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NEW YORK, July 24 (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed about 2% to a near three-month high on Monday on tightening supply, rising U.S. gasoline demand, hopes for Chinese stimulus measures and technical buying. The 200-day moving average had been a key point of technical resistance for both benchmarks since August 2022. Strong demand and worries about supply issues boosted U.S. gasoline futures to their highest level since October 2022. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs and can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. Analysts at Deutsche Bank said demand for oil in China "is now surpassing expectations," which "helps to add confidence in the ability of China to make up (two-thirds) of oil demand growth this year."

Persons: Brent, Bob Yawger, isn’t, Edward Moya, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Scott Disavino, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Emily Chow, Susan Fenton, Matthew Lewis Organizations: YORK, U.S, West Texas, WTI, Mizuho Bank, Organization of, Petroleum, Citi Research, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: Brent, Russia, OPEC, Europe, U.S, China, New York, London, Singapore

☆ Oil prices rise as tight supply counters expected rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, July 24 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Monday as tightening supply and hopes for Chinese stimulus underpinned Brent at well above $80 a barrel, even as traders expected more rate hikes from U.S. and European central banks. Brent crude futures rose 44 cents, or 0.6%, to $81.51 a barrel by 11 GMT. The benchmarks rose 1.5% and 2.2% respectively last week, their fourth straight of week of gains, as supply is expected to tighten following OPEC+ cuts. Fighting also escalated last week in Ukraine after Russia withdrew from a U.N.-brokered safe sea corridor agreement for grain exports. Market participants expect Beijing to implement targeted stimulus measures to support its flagging economy, likely boosting oil demand in the world's No.

Persons: Brent, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Florence Tan, Emily Chow, Tom Hogue, Sharon Singleton, Louise Heavens Organizations: . West Texas, Citi Research, National Australian Bank, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Russia, China, Beijing

☆ Oil markets set to tighten, economic headwinds to hit growth, IEA says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File PhotoLONDON, July 13 (Reuters) - Oil demand is set to hit a record high this year and the market is tightening but economic headwinds and interest rate hikes have deflated growth expectations slightly, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday. Still, the Paris-based energy watchdog sees demand growth next year rising by more than anticipated despite the rise being less than half that of this year. The oil market is tightening, the IEA projected, with demand set to outstrip supply for the rest of 2023. China is due to make up more than two-thirds of this year's demand growth as its post-pandemic economic rebound is set to gain pace, especially later in the year, the IEA said. Oil demand growth is set to halve next year to 1.1 million bpd, the IEA said, reflecting vehicle electrification and energy efficiency, though it raised its view from a 860,000 bpd rise it forecast last month.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, halve, Noah Browning, Jason Neely Organizations: REUTERS, International Energy Agency, IEA, OECD, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Paris, China, Europe

☆ Oil steady as demand woes from weak economic data offset by OPEC+ cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Arathy Somasekhar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

HOUSTON, July 10 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little changed on Monday in choppy trading as demand woes after weak economic data from top consumers the United States and China were offset by expected crude supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia. "Oil traders may be cautious ahead of the U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) and China's slew of economic data later this week," CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said of inflation data due on Wednesday. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. However, crude prices could rebound after producer group OPEC+ announced plans to reduce supply further, Teng added. Money managers stepped up net long positions in oil futures and options contracts in the latest weekly data.

Persons: Brent, Tina Teng, Loretta Mester, Teng, Ole Hansen, Hansen, Arathy Somasekhar, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Emily Chow, Alexander Smith, David Goodman, Peter Graff Organizations: . West Texas, U.S . CPI, Consumer, CMC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, OPEC, International Energy Agency, Saxo Bank, Money, Thomson Locations: United States, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, ., Saudi, WTI, Brent

Goldman Sachs said this week that rising interest rates would remain a "persistent drag" on oil. "There's been little sign of weakness in China's oil demand even if the general reopening boost has disappointed some investors. Global oil demand is forecast to grow between 1 to 2 million barrels per day (bpd), as per the poll. "Once these deficits become visible in on-land oil inventories, we expect prices to trend higher," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. Respondents also largely agreed that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would take measures to keep the floor for oil prices at $80.

Persons: Brent, Ole Hansen, Saxo, Goldman Sachs, There's, Ian Moore, Bernstein, Giovanni Staunovo, Seher, Arpan Varghese, Noah Browning, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: bbl, International Energy Agency, Saudi, of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: China, Saudi, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Aramco, India, Moscow, Turkey, Bengaluru

☆ Oil markets shrug off Russian political turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Brent crude futures were up 38 cents, or 0.5%, at $74.23 a barrel by 1040 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was up 28 cents, or 0.4%, at $69.44. A clash between Moscow and Russian mercenary group Wagner was averted on Saturday after the heavily armed mercenaries withdrew from the southern Russian city of Rostov under a deal that halted their rapid advance on the capital. However, the challenge has raised questions about President Vladimir Putin's grip on power and some concern about possible disruption of Russian oil supply. "China's economic growth has been a nightmare for commodity markets, particularly in oil and industrial metals," CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said in a note.

Persons: Brent, Wagner, Vladimir Putin's, Vandana Hari, Goldman Sachs, Tina Teng, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, David Goodman Organizations: . West Texas, Vanda Insights, U.S . Federal, CMC, Thomson Locations: Moscow, Russian, Rostov, Russia, U.S

NEW YORK, June 20 (Reuters) - Oil futures fell about 2% in choppy trading on Tuesday on forecasts for slower growth of oil demand in China, the world's second-biggest oil consumer, and disappointment with the size of cuts in China's key lending rates. "Oil traders may need to see a materialised strong economic rebound in China to improve their outlook on oil demand," said Tina Teng at CMC Markets in Auckland. Higher interest rates ultimately increase borrowing costs for consumers, which could reduce oil demand by slowing economic growth. A stronger dollar makes crude more expensive for holders of other currencies, which can reduce oil demand. On the supply side, Iran's crude exports and oil output have hit new highs this year despite U.S. sanctions.

Persons: Brent, Edward Moya, Tina Teng, Thomas Barkin, Scott DiSavino, Noah Browning, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, David Goodman, Matthew Lewis Organizations: YORK, . West Texas, CMC Markets, China, Administration, Customs, . Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, U.S ., Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Auckland, Russia, New York, London, Tokyo, Beijing

☆ Oil rises as Chinese economic indicators offer mixed picture
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for July was down 3 cents from Friday's close at $71.75. The more active WTI crude contract for August delivery was up 10 cents from Friday at $72.03 per barrel. There was no settlement in the WTI contract on Monday due to a public holiday in the United States. "Oil traders may need to see a materialised strong economic rebound in China to improve their outlook on oil demand," said Tina Teng, a markets analyst at CMC Markets in Auckland. Higher interest rates reduce appetite for spending and can drive down oil demand.

Persons: Brent, Tina Teng, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Kim Coghill, Jason Neely, Louise Heavens Organizations: . West Texas, CMC Markets, China National Petroleum, Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: China, United States, Auckland, Russia, Moscow, Tokyo, Beijing

Brent crude futures fell $2.95, or 3.9%, to settle at $71.84 a barrel, their lowest since Dec. 2021. Goldman Sachs cut its oil price forecasts early on Sunday, citing higher-than-expected supplies later this year and through 2024. The bank's December crude price forecast now stands at $86 a barrel for Brent, down from $95, and at $81 a barrel for WTI, down from $89. "The Fed meeting and inflation pressures remain key issues for the market this week," said Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Asset Management. Also weighing on investors' minds, oil demand recovery has been muted in China, the top importer of crude oil and refined products.

Persons: Brent, Goldman Sachs, Goldman capitulating, Matt Smith, Robert Yawger, Rob Haworth, Haworth, Yawger, WTI, Shariq Khan, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Emelia Sithole, Jason Neely, Paul Simao, Sharon Singleton, Deepa Babington, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Brent, West Texas, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank Asset Management, of Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Saudi, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, U.S, China

SummarySummary Companies WTI futures fall to lowest since May 4Goldman Sachs cuts price forecasts, sees Brent at $86 in Dec. Brent crude futures fell $2, or 2.7%, to $72.79 a barrel by 11:50 a.m. EDT (15:50 GMT), while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $2.16, or 3.1%, to $68.01 a barrel. Goldman Sachs cut its oil price forecasts on higher-than-expected supplies from Russia and Iran. Also weighing on investors' minds, demand growth is yet to materialize in China, the top importer of crude oil and refined products. There are definitely fears that these guys (OPEC and IEA) will cut their demand forecasts," Yawger said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, Goldman capitulating, Matt Smith, Robert Yawger, Yawger, WTI, Shariq Khan, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Emelia Sithole, Jason Neely, Paul Simao, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Fed, U.S, Federal Reserve, Brent, West Texas, U.S . Federal Reserve, Organization of Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Russia, Iran, U.S, China, Saudi Arabia

LONDON, June 6 (Reuters) - The European Commission is investigating the flow of allegedly fraudulent biofuels into the EU following a complaint from Germany, sources told Reuters, as a Commission spokesman said the bloc was determined to tighten oversight of the trade. Industry sources named the country as Germany. Germany's Environment Ministry, the body industry sources said had requested the investigation, did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. EU classifications qualify the most advanced for valuable greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions certificates that are bought and traded by industry players at the national level. The top European biofuels body warned last week that a flood of potentially "dubious" biodiesel imports into Europe from China could trigger the collapse of the European Union's biofuels industry.

Persons: Noah Browning, Louise Heavens Organizations: European, Reuters, Environment Ministry, EU, Thomson Locations: EU, Germany, China, Asia, Europe

☆ Oil rises on Saudi plan to deepen output cuts from July
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia May 21, 2018. Both contracts extended gains of more than 2% on Friday after the Saudi energy ministry said the kingdom's output would drop to 9 million bpd in July from about 10 million bpd in May. Consultancy Rystad Energy said the additional Saudi cut is likely to deepen the market deficit to more than 3 million bpd in July, which could push prices higher in the coming weeks. "The immediate market impact of this Saudi cut is likely lower, as drawing inventories takes time, and the market likely already put some meaningful probability on a cut today," the bank's analysts added. In contrast, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) was allowed to raise output targets by 200,000 bpd to 3.22 million bpd to reflect its larger production capacity.

Persons: Ahmed Jadallah, Brent, WTI, keener, Suvro Sarkar, Bjarne Schieldrop, Goldman Sachs, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Emily Chow, David Goodman Organizations: REUTERS, Saudi, Brent, . West Texas, Saudi Arabia's, Organization of, Petroleum, DBS Bank, OPEC, Rystad Energy, United Arab Emirates, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Arabia, Russia, Nigeria, Angola, UAE

☆ Economic fears to cap oil prices below $90 through 2023 - Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Kavya Guduru | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A survey of 43 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude would average $84.73 a barrel in 2023, down from the $87.1 consensus in April and current levels of around $73. Most analysts expect oil to trade around the $80-level per barrel this year, with data and analytics firm Kpler noting that "macroeconomic concerns are a major driver of crude prices this year, overshadowing relatively tight fundamentals." West Texas Intermediate (WTI) U.S. crude is expected to average $79.20 a barrel in 2023, down from the previous month's $82.23 consensus. "Even if OPEC+ does not cut in June, the threat of production cuts will remain as long as oil remains significantly below $80 per barrel," EIU'S Sherwood said. OPEC+ surprised the market in April with output cuts that briefly drove up oil prices.

Persons: Brent, Matthew Sherwood, Suvro, EIU'S Sherwood, Kavya Guduru, Noah Browning, Barbara Lewis Organizations: bbl, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, DBS Bank, Thomson Locations: OPEC, U.S, Russia, Vienna, Bengaluru

☆ Oil ticks up as markets weigh U.S. debt deal, rate hike possibility
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( Arathy Somasekhar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"The euphoria of the debt deal is wearing off as concern mounts for another rate hike by the Fed in June," brokerage Liquidity Energy LLC wrote in a note. U.S. President Joe Biden and House of Representatives Speaker Kevin McCarthy over the weekend forged an agreement to suspend the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and cap government spending for the next two years. Still, analysts saw any boost in oil prices from it as short-lived. "Higher U.S. rates are a headwind for crude oil demand," IG Sydney-based analyst Tony Sycamore said. The dollar also nudged down on Monday as the debt ceiling deal lifted risk appetite in world markets and dented the greenback's safe-haven appeal.

☆ Oil dips as rate hike fears offset U.S. debt deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( Arathy Somasekhar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

HOUSTON, May 29 (Reuters) - Oil prices slipped on Monday as worries over further interest rate hikes that could curb energy demand trumped a tentative U.S. debt ceiling deal, possibly averting a default in the world's top oil consumer. "The euphoria of the debt deal is wearing off as concern mounts for another rate hike by the Fed in June," brokerage Liquidity Energy LLC wrote in a note. Still, analysts saw any boost in oil prices from the debt deal as short-lived, with earlier gains in the session now lost. "Higher U.S. rates are a headwind for crude oil demand," IG Sydney-based analyst Tony Sycamore said. However, comments from Russian oil officials and sources, including Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, indicate the world's third-largest oil producer is leaning towards leaving output unchanged.

☆ Oil steady after U.S. debt deal but rate hike worries linger
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

May 29 (Reuters) - Oil prices were steady on Monday after U.S. leaders reached a tentative debt ceiling deal, possibly averting a default in the world's largest economy and oil consumer, but concerns about further interest rate hikes capped gains. Analysts said the provisional deal has taken pressure off the markets, offering a relief rally in risk assets, including crude oil. Still, analysts see any boost in oil prices from the debt deal as short-lived. The U.S. Federal Reserve may still raise interest rates in June, IG's Sydney-based analyst Tony Sycamore said: "Higher U.S. rates are a headwind for crude oil demand," he added. However, comments from Russian oil officials and sources, including Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, indicate the world's third-largest oil producer is leaning towards leaving output unchanged.

☆ IEA says oil price downturn ignores looming supply crunch
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, May 16 (Reuters) - Weeks of declining oil prices due to concerns over a possible recession clash with the outlook for scarce supply and robust demand later in the year, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday. The Paris-based agency raised its forecast for global oil demand by 200,000 bpd to 102 million bpd, noting that China's recovery after the lifting of COVID-19 curbs had surpassed expectations with demand reaching a record 16 million bpd in March. The world's top oil importer is set to account for nearly 60% of global demand growth in 2023, offsetting, along with India and the Middle East, sluggish demand in developed countries. The United States and Brazil will lead modest growth in oil supply of 1.2 million bpd for the year as OPEC+ cuts agreed in April mean volumes from the producer group will fall 850,000 bpd from then through December, the IEA said. Reporting By Noah Browning; Editing by Kirsten DonovanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Oil prices rise as tight supplies compete with economic concerns
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SINGAPORE, May 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged up on Monday as the prospect of tightening supplies due to OPEC+ production cuts and a resumption in U.S. buying for reserves outweighed concerns about fuel demand in top global oil consumers the United States and China. Still, global crude supplies could tighten in the second half as OPEC+ - the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia - is making additional output cuts that are reducing sour crude volumes. However, Iraq does not expect OPEC+ to make further cuts to oil output at its next meeting on June 4, said its oil minister, Hayan Abdel-Ghani. Meanwhile, flows of northern Iraqi crude oil to Turkey's Ceyhan port have yet to resume following Baghdad's request to restart them last week, industry sources said on Monday, helping keep global supplies tight. The tightening of sanctions will also seek to undermine Russia's future energy production and curb trade that supports the Russian military, the people said.

☆ Oil falls on surprise increase to U.S. inventories
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Summary U.S. consumer price index figures for April due on WednesdayComing up: EIA data on U.S. oil inventories at 10:30 a.m. EDTMay 10 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Wednesday, ending a three-day rally as an unexpected rise in U.S. oil inventories sparked demand concerns and investors awaited inflation data for a steer on U.S. interest rates. U.S. government data on oil inventories is due on Wednesday. The surprising U.S. inventory build along with lower crude imports and April's softer export growth in China exacerbated worries about global oil demand. "Crude futures were unwinding Tuesday’s modest gains early Wednesday as economic worries occupied centre stage, especially over the world’s two largest economies," said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights. OPEC and its allies, together known as OPEC+, agreed last month to cut production by 1.16 million barrels per day (bpd) from May through to the end of the year.

☆ Oil slips as recession fears loom over economic data
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SINGAPORE, April 17 (Reuters) - Oil prices turned lower on Monday as investors mulled over a possible May interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which could dampen economic recovery hopes, though Chinese GDP data was expected to augur well for demand growth. Both contracts notched their fourth weekly gain in a row last week, the longest such streak since mid-2022. "The oil complex continues to digest ongoing signs of a U.S. economic cool-down." Earnings from U.S. companies could also provide clues for the Fed's policy path and the dollar's trajectory. The greenback has been strengthening alongside interest rate hikes, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

☆ Oil steady as market awaits Chinese GDP data
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Companies Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc FollowSINGAPORE, April 17 (Reuters) - Oil prices were steady on Monday as investors eyed Chinese economic data for signs of demand recovery in the world's second-largest oil consumer. "Crude prices have defaulted to tracking the daily mood in the broader financial markets" as fears over possible recession continue to cloud the horizon, she added. Further tightening supplies, oil exports from northern Iraq to the Turkish port of Ceyhan remain at a standstill almost three weeks after an arbitration case ruled Ankara owed Baghdad compensation for unauthorised exports. Rising costs for Middle Eastern crude supplies, which meet more than half of Asia's demand, are already squeezing refiners' margins, prompting them to secure supplies from other regions. The greenback has been strengthening alongside interest rate hikes, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

☆ Oil steady as market awaits China GDP data
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SINGAPORE, April 17 (Reuters) - Oil prices were steady on Monday as investors eyed Chinese economic data for signs of demand recovery in the world's second-largest oil consumer. Further tightening supplies, oil exports from northern Iraq to the Turkish port of Ceyhan remain at a standstill almost three weeks after an arbitration case ruled Ankara owed Baghdad compensation for unauthorised exports. "Weaker refinery margins remain a feature, with the weakness predominantly driven by middle distillates. Stronger crude prices will not be helping margins for refiners either," ING analysts said in a note. The greenback has been strengthening alongside interest rate hikes, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

☆ OPEC+ cuts risk oil supply deficit, threaten economic recovery - IEA
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, April 14 (Reuters) - Output cuts announced by OPEC+ producers risk exacerbating an oil supply deficit expected in the second half of the year and could hurt consumers and global economic recovery, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Friday. "Consumers confronted by inflated prices for basic necessities will now have to spread their budgets even more thinly," the IEA said in its monthly oil report. "This augurs badly for the economic recovery and growth," it added. The IEA said it expected global oil supply to fall by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) by the end of the year citing an expected production increase of 1 million bpd from outside of OPEC+ beginning in March versus a 1.4 million bpd decline from the producers bloc. Rising global oil stocks may have influenced the OPEC+ decision, the IEA added, noting OECD industry stocks in January hit their highest level since July 2021 at 2.83 billion barrels.

Summary Dip in China consumer inflation points to weak demandU.S. inflation report due on WednesdayComing up: API data on US crude stocks at 4:30 p.m. Brent crude futures settled up $1.43, or 1.7%, to $85.61 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose $1.79, or 2.2%, to $81.53 a barrel. read moreA U.S. inflation report to be released on Wednesday is expected to help investors gauge the near-term trajectory for interest rates. OPEC output will fall by 500,000 bpd in 2023, then rise by 1 million bpd in 2024, after the group's output agreement expires, the Energy Information Administration forecast on Tuesday.

☆ Oil steady on China demand concerns with US inflation in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-11 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Summary China consumer inflation drop points to weak demandU.S. inflation report due WednesdayComing up: API data on US crude stocks at 4:30 p.m. Brent crude futures slipped 18 cents, or 0.2%, to $84 a barrel by 1102 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures eased 12 cents, or 0.1%, to $79.62 a barrel. A U.S. inflation report to be released on Wednesday could help investors gauge the near-term trajectory for interest rates. "The short-term crude demand outlook will soon be clearer. "Wall Street should have a strong handle on the trajectory of the economy after it gets a pivotal inflation report."

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